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Is this the weirdest story of the year so far or what?

Are the Bitfinex hackers the real deal, or does something not stack up? As Crypto Twitter continues to speculate, we focus our attention on the implications.

Crypto Banter by Crypto Banter
February 11, 2022
in Breaking News
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Are the Bitfinex hackers the real deal, or does something not stack up? As Crypto Twitter continues to speculate, we focus our attention on the implications.

In other news, Russia makes a huge announcement – Is this geopolitical game theory in action? Plus, good news concerning a major Layer-2 could prove bullish for Ethereum. Alt season incoming?

All of that and much more…

Coffee. Banter. Go!

  • Implications of the Bitfinex BTC recovery.
  • Is Russia going full degen?
  • Does the recent Polygon raise point towards an upcoming alt season?

In a story destined to become a chart-topping podcast, movie, or true-crime podcast, the alleged Bitfinex hackers have been apprehended. And they don’t exactly fit the profile we might have expected…

Yeah, I had the private keys to 120K BTC for 5+ years and the market’s dumping because I finally got caught.

WTF ARE YOU GONNA DO ABOUT IT? pic.twitter.com/Qii1A1LvCW

— K A L E O (@CryptoKaleo) February 8, 2022

One of the alleged hackers is 31 year-old Heather “Razzlekhan” Morgan, whose peculiar raps and Tik-Tok segments have been spreading like wildfire across Crypto Twitter. Her husband, the other alleged culprit, is Ilya “Dutch” Lichtenstein. These alleged “masterminds” of a crime resulting in the U.S. Department of Justice’s largest financial seizure in history managed to evade the authorities for so long, only leaving a private key on a cloud-based device. It’s all just a bit… weird.

For a general overview, check out Jack Niewold’s thread!

What do:

• $4 billion in missing $BTC
• Female rapper RAZZLEKHAN
• Forbes magazine
• the US Department of Justice

Have in common?

A thread on the 2016 Bitfinex hack, its resolution, and the implications.

The strangest crypto story of the year (so far, at least):

🧵👇

— Jack Niewold 🫡 (@JackNiewold) February 8, 2022

Meanwhile, the value of Bitfinex’s utility token, LEO, shot up in the days preceding the news, suggesting that either insiders knew what was coming, or some gigabrains placed calculated bets based on the infamous stolen BTC’s recent movements. Whoever loaded up on LEO in anticipation made some pretty healthy gains.

Someone knew this LEO move was coming days ago when the first major BTC / Bitfinex wallet transfers were detected.

The LEO chart hit new ATHs after a ~10 month accumulation period and looked primed for continuation prior to today's news. pic.twitter.com/EGHTpvdfW2

— K A L E O (@CryptoKaleo) February 8, 2022

The cryptosphere is still trying to guess what happens next, and the other parties involved probably don’t quite know what to do either. Will the BTC be returned to the victims of the hack? Will the US government HODL? What are the legal implications at play here?

think there's actually 2 scenarios –

more likely – us govt holds given finex legal issues and auctions which means entire supply shows up at market

less likely – finex gets assets back, only part gets sold by LEO creditors, less bearish, still bearish https://t.co/F44Z1ZEktx

— light (@lightcrypto) February 8, 2022

Zhu Su shared his two cents:

Also, why are people even assuming any BTC uncovered gets sold to dollars? LEO holders are the most likely to be BTC denominated, as in they bought LEO/BTC ($1 v $6k) during 2019.

There is no role for USD in LEO/BTC. https://t.co/MfT0kNRvZ7

— 朱溯 🐂 (@zhusu) February 8, 2022

We’ll see how all this unravels; this story is only just unfolding. Suffice to say, to be continued…!

Polygon raising money bullish for ETH?

Yesterday, we reported on Polygon (formerly MATIC) raising $450 million from some of the best investors in the business.

Is this raising of almost half a billion dollars bullish for MATIC? Of course, but it is potentially just as significant for Ethereum (and a possible upcoming alt season).

Food for thought:

If Sequoia will pay $400+ million to scale $ETH, maybe we should all just be long $ETH. No? Don’t want to overthink things. https://t.co/HXB5zoMnVa

— Bill Gurley (@bgurley) February 8, 2022

Russia goes degen? 

On another front, while the Russian Central Bank and the Ministry of Finance appeared to have opposing views regarding the future of crypto (to ban vs to regulate), Vladimir Putin expressed his clear intent to regulate crypto, and it looks like an agreement has been reached between the country’s Central Bank and the Russian government.

Potential guest for a Friday Banter show…?

BREAKING: The Russian government and central bank have just reached an agreement on cryptocurrencies, according to Russia's Kommersant.

Both organizations will treat bitcoin and crypto assets as currencies.

— Pomp 🌪 (@APompliano) February 9, 2022

This is a huge story. Why? Because currencies are treated completely differently from assets. It’s a big deal, which is why we’ve got a deep-dive article coming up shortly.

Geopolitical game theory in play. https://t.co/CJN3ow2u1G

— Jordan Lindsey (@TradersMastery) February 9, 2022

Bitcoin holding the fort

Finally, with Bitcoin hovering in the $43,000 region, there still seems to be some uncertainty and fear despite the recent pump, and some analysts are suggesting there could be major upcoming resistance in the $47,000 to $48,000 range. 

🧵9 reasons why 47-48K is a big resistance zone for #BTC

..but once we break above it there is a high chance for upside continuation. https://t.co/SCfiXnbcBL

— ₿ Valerio 🟠⚡️ (@ValerioJob_) February 9, 2022

That said, Scott Melker points out (in line with Will Clemente’s thinking yesterday), that max pain would be an ‘up only’ scenario. 

When most people want to buy the dip because they missed the bottom, the path of “max pain” is usually up.

— The Wolf Of All Streets (@scottmelker) February 8, 2022

UST continues to crush it

UST has faced no shortage of FUD in recent weeks (peg-related or Anchor Protocol’s dwindling reserves), but behind the scenes, the TerraForm Labs is making strides towards global UST adoption, with the first UST debit cards courtesy of OutletFinance and Kash.io drawing closer to release. 

https://twitter.com/Speicherx/status/1491256228471017472?s=20&t=ImTq3SmEK2XVURNsNYZf1w

Banter’s take

Are we witnessing the birth of a new crypto cycle? News from Russia suggests so, and as weird as the Bitfinex story is, and however it plays out, it decimates the mainstream notion that Bitcoin and crypto is a preferred medium of exchange for illicit activity. As far as traceless transactions go, cash is king! Regulators (and law enforcement) must be digging it. Plus, these stolen funds have spooked the markets for years every time they made a move. However the Bitfinex issue pans out, it’ll be good to put it behind us! In the meantime, Bitcoin continues to hold well above $41,000, proving that this was no mere fakeout. And with equity markets heading into the week strong (in light of tomorrow’s expected Consumer Price Index data), we could see this positive price action continuing.

Tags: BTCETHPolygon (MATIC)
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